Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.151325 0.175660 0.202690 0.234950 0.272420 0.314592 0.365692
2025-04-13 0.111892 0.143947 0.183378 0.235496 0.302669 0.386468 0.499184
2025-04-20 0.094581 0.130680 0.178348 0.246004 0.339775 0.465491 0.647448
2025-04-27 0.082323 0.120536 0.173991 0.254390 0.372629 0.540756 0.799152
2025-05-04 0.072869 0.112174 0.169962 0.261353 0.402843 0.614568 0.957401
2025-05-11 0.064268 0.103444 0.163656 0.263244 0.424662 0.677487 1.106459
2025-05-18 0.056445 0.094609 0.155678 0.260886 0.438694 0.729022 1.243110
2025-05-25 0.048982 0.085217 0.145389 0.253020 0.442070 0.762840 1.353689
2025-06-01 0.045254 0.081548 0.143963 0.259644 0.470375 0.841167 1.550178
2025-06-08 0.041165 0.076663 0.139745 0.260622 0.488486 0.903354 1.725052
2025-06-15 0.038153 0.073311 0.137766 0.265249 0.513524 0.980498 1.936959
2025-06-22 0.034202 0.067682 0.130892 0.259702 0.518397 1.020146 2.080960
2025-06-29 0.030990 0.063163 0.125716 0.257068 0.529132 1.073342 2.261214
2025-07-06 0.028493 0.059771 0.122355 0.257681 0.546568 1.142145 2.483417
2025-07-13 0.027363 0.059032 0.124199 0.269193 0.587974 1.264848 2.836503
2025-07-20 0.026096 0.057838 0.124933 0.278381 0.625448 1.383616 3.196667
2025-07-27 0.024797 0.056406 0.124975 0.286009 0.660350 1.500847 3.568882
2025-08-03 0.023171 0.054039 0.122689 0.288081 0.682813 1.592818 3.894211
2025-08-10 0.021363 0.051032 0.118617 0.285497 0.694027 1.660144 4.169086
2025-08-17 0.019328 0.047248 0.112332 0.276879 0.689663 1.690080 4.355317
2025-08-24 0.018504 0.046289 0.112565 0.284136 0.725193 1.820707 4.814968
2025-08-31 0.017372 0.044432 0.110426 0.285208 0.745240 1.915280 5.193290
2025-09-07 0.016557 0.043280 0.109886 0.290277 0.776198 2.041198 5.672474